Warning Signs Mount as US Prepares for Potential Flu Season Crisis
As the flu season kicks off in the Northern Hemisphere, global health experts are sounding the alarm about a new strain of influenza that's spreading rapidly across Canada and the UK, prompting warnings of an early wave that could send people to hospital. The H3N2 strain, which emerged in June, has acquired seven new mutations since then, making it significantly different from the strain included in this year's flu vaccine.
"We're seeing a rapid spread of this virus, particularly in some countries," said Dr. Wenqing Zhang, head of the World Health Organization's Global Respiratory Threats Unit. "The version of H3N2 that's circulated worldwide this year is quite different to the one included in the vaccine."
The UK is bracing for what appears to be a brutal winter, with flu cases expected to triple compared to last year. Meanwhile, Canada and Japan are experiencing unusual and severe outbreaks, with Tokyo seeing nearly six times more flu cases than usual just a few weeks into the season.
"These are not good signs," said Angela Rasmussen, a virologist at the University of Saskatchewan. "The fact that we're already seeing this level of activity so early in the season is concerning."
As for whether the US has seen any similar outbreaks, anecdotal reports have emerged, but there's currently no comprehensive data to back it up. The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) hasn't reported on flu activity since September 26 due to a government shutdown, which may further delay the collection and analysis of data.
Even if the CDC reopens soon, Dr. William Schaffner, an infectious diseases expert at Vanderbilt University Medical Center, warned that the agency's "hollowing out" due to massive layoffs could impact flu surveillance and analysis.
"While we're going to be dependent on state laboratories and academic labs for these investigations, the information won't be as comprehensive or quickly analyzed and communicated from the CDC as it has been in previous years," Schaffner said.
As for this year's flu vaccine, global health officials and manufacturers selected the strains to protect against three types of influenza: two A strains and one B strain. While the vaccine doesn't prevent infection, it can lessen the severity of illness. In a preliminary analysis, the UK's vaccine has been found to be around 40% effective in preventing hospitalization among adults.
Schaffner urged people to get vaccinated regardless, citing decades of data showing that even if there isn't a perfect match with this year's flu strain, vaccination still helps prevent hospitalizations and other severe outcomes.
As the flu season kicks off in the Northern Hemisphere, global health experts are sounding the alarm about a new strain of influenza that's spreading rapidly across Canada and the UK, prompting warnings of an early wave that could send people to hospital. The H3N2 strain, which emerged in June, has acquired seven new mutations since then, making it significantly different from the strain included in this year's flu vaccine.
"We're seeing a rapid spread of this virus, particularly in some countries," said Dr. Wenqing Zhang, head of the World Health Organization's Global Respiratory Threats Unit. "The version of H3N2 that's circulated worldwide this year is quite different to the one included in the vaccine."
The UK is bracing for what appears to be a brutal winter, with flu cases expected to triple compared to last year. Meanwhile, Canada and Japan are experiencing unusual and severe outbreaks, with Tokyo seeing nearly six times more flu cases than usual just a few weeks into the season.
"These are not good signs," said Angela Rasmussen, a virologist at the University of Saskatchewan. "The fact that we're already seeing this level of activity so early in the season is concerning."
As for whether the US has seen any similar outbreaks, anecdotal reports have emerged, but there's currently no comprehensive data to back it up. The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) hasn't reported on flu activity since September 26 due to a government shutdown, which may further delay the collection and analysis of data.
Even if the CDC reopens soon, Dr. William Schaffner, an infectious diseases expert at Vanderbilt University Medical Center, warned that the agency's "hollowing out" due to massive layoffs could impact flu surveillance and analysis.
"While we're going to be dependent on state laboratories and academic labs for these investigations, the information won't be as comprehensive or quickly analyzed and communicated from the CDC as it has been in previous years," Schaffner said.
As for this year's flu vaccine, global health officials and manufacturers selected the strains to protect against three types of influenza: two A strains and one B strain. While the vaccine doesn't prevent infection, it can lessen the severity of illness. In a preliminary analysis, the UK's vaccine has been found to be around 40% effective in preventing hospitalization among adults.
Schaffner urged people to get vaccinated regardless, citing decades of data showing that even if there isn't a perfect match with this year's flu strain, vaccination still helps prevent hospitalizations and other severe outcomes.