UK Economy Shrinks Unexpectedly Before Budget, Data Reveals
In a surprise move, the UK economy contracted by 0.1% in October, according to data from the Office for National Statistics (ONS). This unexpected decline has sent shockwaves through the markets, with economists predicting a rate cut by the Bank of England next week.
The contraction is largely attributed to a sharp decline in consumer spending and car sales, as well as a slump in computer programming and consultancy activities. Construction output also fell by 0.6%, while manufacturing output rose by 1.1% - a slightly slower-than-expected recovery from the cyber attack on Jaguar Land Rover.
The ONS noted that businesses across all three sectors of the economy were waiting for the outcomes of the budget, with manufacturers and construction companies bearing the brunt of the impact. The biggest effect was felt in industries such as wholesaling, real estate, and employment agencies, where output declined by 0.3%.
Experts point to a "numbing effect" from the chancellor's budget on consumer spending and business confidence. With growth now firmly in the slow lane, economists are predicting further downward pressure on inflationary pressures.
The Bank of England is widely expected to cut interest rates for the sixth time since last summer, with some economists forecasting a quarter-point reduction to 3.75%. However, not all experts share this view, with Sanjay Raja at Deutsche Bank warning that the road to the new year will be bumpy and citing concerns over weak hiring and rising unemployment.
The latest GDP figures have also raised questions about the accuracy of economic forecasts and the impact of government policies on consumer spending. The chancellor's budget is seen as a key factor in the current slowdown, with Mel Stride, the shadow chancellor, accusing the government of "economic mismanagement".
As the UK economy continues to grapple with slow growth and rising unemployment, investors will be watching the Bank of England's next policy meeting closely for any signs of further rate cuts.
In a surprise move, the UK economy contracted by 0.1% in October, according to data from the Office for National Statistics (ONS). This unexpected decline has sent shockwaves through the markets, with economists predicting a rate cut by the Bank of England next week.
The contraction is largely attributed to a sharp decline in consumer spending and car sales, as well as a slump in computer programming and consultancy activities. Construction output also fell by 0.6%, while manufacturing output rose by 1.1% - a slightly slower-than-expected recovery from the cyber attack on Jaguar Land Rover.
The ONS noted that businesses across all three sectors of the economy were waiting for the outcomes of the budget, with manufacturers and construction companies bearing the brunt of the impact. The biggest effect was felt in industries such as wholesaling, real estate, and employment agencies, where output declined by 0.3%.
Experts point to a "numbing effect" from the chancellor's budget on consumer spending and business confidence. With growth now firmly in the slow lane, economists are predicting further downward pressure on inflationary pressures.
The Bank of England is widely expected to cut interest rates for the sixth time since last summer, with some economists forecasting a quarter-point reduction to 3.75%. However, not all experts share this view, with Sanjay Raja at Deutsche Bank warning that the road to the new year will be bumpy and citing concerns over weak hiring and rising unemployment.
The latest GDP figures have also raised questions about the accuracy of economic forecasts and the impact of government policies on consumer spending. The chancellor's budget is seen as a key factor in the current slowdown, with Mel Stride, the shadow chancellor, accusing the government of "economic mismanagement".
As the UK economy continues to grapple with slow growth and rising unemployment, investors will be watching the Bank of England's next policy meeting closely for any signs of further rate cuts.