The Space Race Reborn: As Earth's Resources Are Devoured, Humanity Turns to the Moon for Survival
In a move that echoes the Cold War era of space exploration, the US and China are now engaged in a new "space race" under the guise of peaceful exploration. The moon, with its south pole offering unparalleled solar array power and ice deposits, has become the focal point of this competition.
The stakes are high as both nations aim to control the lunar surface and establish a post-terrestrial economy. However, the UN's 1967 outer space treaty, which bans state exploitation of the heavens, is being circumvented by private claims and corporate interests. The US and China are racing against each other to secure strategic supremacy, with NASA's Artemis II mission set to launch next year.
Meanwhile, Donald Trump is cutting state support for NASA, shifting the focus towards private sector-led space exploration. This move is part of a broader vision for extending earthly ownership structures into space, as outlined in the Artemis accords signed by over 40 nations. The likes of Elon Musk and Jeff Bezos are backing this approach, with SpaceX aiming to float its firm in 2026 for $1.5 trillion.
However, China's International Lunar Research Station, a joint effort with Russia and global-south partners, embodies a state-led approach that seeks to escape an American-led system. This camp is claiming compliance with UN rules by establishing international "collaborative" consortiums for lunar bases.
The result is a rivalry between two camps, both publicly invoking "peaceful exploration," while engaging in strategic competition for lunar resources. The moon's potential uses range from producing rocket fuel and sustaining life to harnessing helium-3 as a fusion fuel. Nuclear fission on the moon, however, is becoming a concrete engineering race, with the US and China-Russia funding reactor designs necessary for human lunar colonies.
The technology is not new, but the moon looks like a proving ground for reliable nuclear power during the 14-day lunar night, which would be essential for permanent human bases. The nation that achieves this could determine the balance of industrial and digital power for the next century.
As humanity continues to ravage Earth's natural resources at a rate 1.7 times faster than its biocapacity can regenerate them, the drive to leave Earth is becoming increasingly pressing. There are three ways out: become more efficient, green the economy, or move energy-intensive processes off-world. Silicon Valley is leaning towards the latter, with Google planning to put datacentres in orbit powered by solar energy.
However, this approach raises concerns about a new phase of extraction as humanity's limits on Earth are reached. The incentive for off-Earth, continuous solar energy will grow stronger, but at what cost? As Kim Stanley Robinson's classic sci-fi novel Red Mars warns, humanity must first learn to live sustainably on its own before it can attempt to inhabit other worlds.
The logic of "resource utilisation" in space law is subtly inverting the problem. Planetary overshoot becomes a licence to expand, rather than reduce. The author of the novel cautions that humanity would export its old politics to new worlds with disastrous results if we do not first learn to live sustainably on our own.
The US's 2015 Space Act has already opened the door for asteroid mining and space property rights. As NASA's moon rock returns are used to justify these claims, the question remains: can humanity escape Earth without also escaping itself? The fate of our planet hangs in the balance as we embark on this new era of space exploration.
In a move that echoes the Cold War era of space exploration, the US and China are now engaged in a new "space race" under the guise of peaceful exploration. The moon, with its south pole offering unparalleled solar array power and ice deposits, has become the focal point of this competition.
The stakes are high as both nations aim to control the lunar surface and establish a post-terrestrial economy. However, the UN's 1967 outer space treaty, which bans state exploitation of the heavens, is being circumvented by private claims and corporate interests. The US and China are racing against each other to secure strategic supremacy, with NASA's Artemis II mission set to launch next year.
Meanwhile, Donald Trump is cutting state support for NASA, shifting the focus towards private sector-led space exploration. This move is part of a broader vision for extending earthly ownership structures into space, as outlined in the Artemis accords signed by over 40 nations. The likes of Elon Musk and Jeff Bezos are backing this approach, with SpaceX aiming to float its firm in 2026 for $1.5 trillion.
However, China's International Lunar Research Station, a joint effort with Russia and global-south partners, embodies a state-led approach that seeks to escape an American-led system. This camp is claiming compliance with UN rules by establishing international "collaborative" consortiums for lunar bases.
The result is a rivalry between two camps, both publicly invoking "peaceful exploration," while engaging in strategic competition for lunar resources. The moon's potential uses range from producing rocket fuel and sustaining life to harnessing helium-3 as a fusion fuel. Nuclear fission on the moon, however, is becoming a concrete engineering race, with the US and China-Russia funding reactor designs necessary for human lunar colonies.
The technology is not new, but the moon looks like a proving ground for reliable nuclear power during the 14-day lunar night, which would be essential for permanent human bases. The nation that achieves this could determine the balance of industrial and digital power for the next century.
As humanity continues to ravage Earth's natural resources at a rate 1.7 times faster than its biocapacity can regenerate them, the drive to leave Earth is becoming increasingly pressing. There are three ways out: become more efficient, green the economy, or move energy-intensive processes off-world. Silicon Valley is leaning towards the latter, with Google planning to put datacentres in orbit powered by solar energy.
However, this approach raises concerns about a new phase of extraction as humanity's limits on Earth are reached. The incentive for off-Earth, continuous solar energy will grow stronger, but at what cost? As Kim Stanley Robinson's classic sci-fi novel Red Mars warns, humanity must first learn to live sustainably on its own before it can attempt to inhabit other worlds.
The logic of "resource utilisation" in space law is subtly inverting the problem. Planetary overshoot becomes a licence to expand, rather than reduce. The author of the novel cautions that humanity would export its old politics to new worlds with disastrous results if we do not first learn to live sustainably on our own.
The US's 2015 Space Act has already opened the door for asteroid mining and space property rights. As NASA's moon rock returns are used to justify these claims, the question remains: can humanity escape Earth without also escaping itself? The fate of our planet hangs in the balance as we embark on this new era of space exploration.