US Aircraft Carrier Deployment Brings Venezuela on the Brink of Conflict
The world's largest aircraft carrier, USS Gerald R Ford, has been deployed to the Caribbean in conjunction with a massive strike group, raising tensions in Venezuela and sparking concerns about an impending military intervention. The deployment, which marks the US' largest military buildup in Latin America in decades, comes as President Donald Trump continues to order airstrikes on alleged narco-boats and intensifies pressure on Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro.
According to former US ambassador James Story, who was Washington's top diplomat for Venezuela from 2018 to 2023, facts have changed significantly since the deployment began. Initially, Story believed there was only a 10% chance of a US attack on Venezuelan soil, but now estimates it at 80%. He also thinks that things are "imminent" and predicts that Maduro's regime will soon face collapse.
Story believes that one of the most effective ways to force Maduro from power is by targeting his closest allies with a "Soleimani-style" attack. Another option could be a devastating aerial blitz, which would quickly decapitate the government. The opposition leader Maria Corina Machado has made plans for her team to take over the government in case of Maduro's fall.
However, many experts and observers are warning against an invasion or military intervention, citing concerns about the potential consequences of destabilizing an already impoverished and lawless country. Elías Ferrer, a founder of Venezuela-focused advisory firm Orinoco Research, fears that a "Libya scenario" could unfold, where the country falls into civil war.
Benjamin Gedan, director of the Latin America program at the Stimson centre in Washington, suggests that the US might be pivoting towards normalizing diplomatic ties with Maduro. He also believes that a military intervention or air strike is possible but warns against it, citing lessons from the 20-year quagmire in Afghanistan.
The deployment has sparked fears of an escalation of violence and concern about the potential for further destabilization of the region. The Venezuelan people are caught in the middle, with many regions resembling "the wild west." As tensions rise, one thing is clear: Venezuela's future hangs in the balance.
The world's largest aircraft carrier, USS Gerald R Ford, has been deployed to the Caribbean in conjunction with a massive strike group, raising tensions in Venezuela and sparking concerns about an impending military intervention. The deployment, which marks the US' largest military buildup in Latin America in decades, comes as President Donald Trump continues to order airstrikes on alleged narco-boats and intensifies pressure on Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro.
According to former US ambassador James Story, who was Washington's top diplomat for Venezuela from 2018 to 2023, facts have changed significantly since the deployment began. Initially, Story believed there was only a 10% chance of a US attack on Venezuelan soil, but now estimates it at 80%. He also thinks that things are "imminent" and predicts that Maduro's regime will soon face collapse.
Story believes that one of the most effective ways to force Maduro from power is by targeting his closest allies with a "Soleimani-style" attack. Another option could be a devastating aerial blitz, which would quickly decapitate the government. The opposition leader Maria Corina Machado has made plans for her team to take over the government in case of Maduro's fall.
However, many experts and observers are warning against an invasion or military intervention, citing concerns about the potential consequences of destabilizing an already impoverished and lawless country. Elías Ferrer, a founder of Venezuela-focused advisory firm Orinoco Research, fears that a "Libya scenario" could unfold, where the country falls into civil war.
Benjamin Gedan, director of the Latin America program at the Stimson centre in Washington, suggests that the US might be pivoting towards normalizing diplomatic ties with Maduro. He also believes that a military intervention or air strike is possible but warns against it, citing lessons from the 20-year quagmire in Afghanistan.
The deployment has sparked fears of an escalation of violence and concern about the potential for further destabilization of the region. The Venezuelan people are caught in the middle, with many regions resembling "the wild west." As tensions rise, one thing is clear: Venezuela's future hangs in the balance.